Matches in which less than five goals are scored are not new to football. These games are common, even in competitions with strong attacking teams. In some championships, the percentage of such meetings is almost 100%. Below, we’ve listed tournaments from the 2023/24 season where these bets are super reliable.
TOP 50 Leagues with Under 4.5 Goals
| # | Tournament | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pro League | 98% |
| 2 | Primera B Nacional | 97% |
| 3 | Professional League | 97% |
| 4 | Kenyan Premier League | 96% |
| 5 | PSL | 96% |
| 6 | Ligue 1 | 96% |
| 7 | Super Liga | 96% |
| 8 | Tanzanian Premier League | 96% |
| 9 | Primera B Metropolitana | 95% |
| 10 | Ligue 1 | 95% |
| 11 | Ugandan Premier League | 95% |
| 12 | CFL | 95% |
| 13 | Nigerian Premier League | 94% |
| 14 | Segunda RFEF Gr. 4 | 94% |
| 15 | Segunda | 93% |
| 16 | Botola Pro | 93% |
| 17 | 2. HNL | 93% |
| 18 | Azadegan League | 93% |
| 19 | Super League 2 | 93% |
| 20 | Serie A | 92% |
| 21 | Canadian Premier League | 92% |
| 22 | Primera A | 92% |
| 23 | Primera C | 92% |
| 24 | Primera | 92% |
| 25 | Ukrainian Premier League | 92% |
| 26 | Primera Division | 92% |
| 27 | Segunda | 92% |
| 28 | Primera | 92% |
| 29 | Div 2 | 91% |
| 30 | Primera RFEF Gr. 2 | 91% |
| 31 | National | 91% |
| 32 | Irish Premier League | 91% |
| 33 | National League North | 91% |
| 34 | Serie B | 91% |
| 35 | Division 1 | 91% |
| 36 | Serie C Gr. A | 91% |
| 37 | First League | 90% |
| 38 | Primera Division | 90% |
| 39 | Segunda RFEF Gr. 3 | 90% |
| 40 | Primera B | 90% |
| 41 | 1. HNL | 90% |
| 42 | I-League | 90% |
| 43 | Premiership | 90% |
| 44 | Kazakh Premier League | 90% |
| 45 | Primera | 90% |
| 46 | Liga 1 | 90% |
| 47 | Segunda RFEF Gr. 2 | 90% |
| 48 | LPF | 90% |
| 49 | Serie C Gr. B | 90% |
| 50 | Championship | 89% |
Meaning of Under 4.5 Goals in Betting
If you’re betting on under 4.5, you’re basically predicting that fewer than five goals will be scored in a match. This stake is reliable for any game unless you’re considering meetings involving high-scoring teams or competitions like certain German leagues. The odds are often low, though. But you can also combine under 4.5 with other bets. For example, you could wager on a home team to win + under 4.5 goals. Combining the two stakes will give you better odds but also higher risks.